I stopped using the terms decades ago. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. 

In summary, after a long run in one direction, the appearance of a big volume surge means that a large number of shares are being transferred from one group of market participants to another; it is at this point that the market can become "overbought" or "oversold". This oscillator laid the foundation for the technical indicator which has become the primary indicator of an overbought stock, the relative strength index RSI.

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Overbought / Oversold – These terms have got to be the most over-used terms when talking about the markets. Overbought refers to the time in which the prices have risen to a level that seems as if they cannot go any higher. Oversold is the opposite, prices have dropped to a point it seems as they cannot go any lower.

A bullish divergence forms when the underlying asset makes a lower low and RSI makes a higher low. RSI diverges from the bearish price action in that it shows strengthening momentum, indicating a potential upward reversal in price. A bearish divergence forms when the underlying asset makes a higher high and RSI forms a lower high. RSI diverges from the bullish price action in that it shows weakening momentum, indicating a potential downward reversal in price.

Divergence can last for a long time. Prices may continue to rise even though the RSI is showing a divergence. Therefore, divergence should not be acted on alone.

If there is divergence present, it is wise to wait for the price to break in the direction of the divergence before acting.

Failure Swings Failure swings can also be used to spot price reversals. A bullish failure swing forms when RSI moves below 30, rises back above 30 and pulls back again, but holds above the 30 level. The failure swing is complete when the RSI breaks its recent high; this breakout is interpreted as a bullish signal.

A bearish failure swing forms when the RSI moves above 70, pulls back below 70 and rises again, but holds below The failure swing is complete when the RSI breaks its recent low; this breakout is interpreted as a bearish signal. The trader is waiting for an oversold condition in which to buy, but instead of buying immediately when the RSI moves back above 30, the trader has the option to wait and see if the RSI holds above the 30 level on the next drop.

The reverse would be true for selling at the 70 levels after the RSI has reached overbought conditions. Here is how the RSI looks when making a failure swing. Here's a real-world example in which a stock, in an overall uptrend, drops below 30 on the RSI.

It then bounces but then drops below again. Following the next RSI rally, it holds above 30 and then rallies above the recent peak. Trader 1 will now become a seller - there will now be two sellers where before there was only one.

Because both traders are now in sell mode, this will drive the price down, at least to the point where trader 2 is ready to become a buyer he has cash. Below you see a graphical representation of what happened in our market model: Volume spike marks Overbought condition The above is, of course, a very simplistic model of how a market operates.

The market is infinitively more complex: Regardless of the market's great complexity, the following principles outlined in our market model hold true: Following a phase where the market has seen prices increase substantially in a short time i. This market stage coincides with a volume surge, which indicates that a large number of high-priced shares are being transferred i. Following the surge, which uses up a lot of buying power, the number of those buyers willing to keep buying at these high -inflated prices becomes exhausted.

Buyers are no longer willing to pay up i. If you reacted in July as if Stochastics was overbought and took action to sell, place stops, etc. If you sold when it went below 50 in mid-October, you would have missed the next 6 months of up move in the issue.

The red rectangle shows more of the same. The indicator remained essentially above 50 for almost 6 months. I stopped using the terms decades ago. And to make it even worse, using them on unbounded measures such as the AD Line, Momentum, etc.

Chart A Some of the best arguments I have heard about the benefits from using overbought and oversold are when perfect hindsight is implemented.

 

Overbought and Oversold Levels 

Overbought refers to a security which has been subject to a persistent upward pressure and that technical analysis suggests is due for a correction. The bullish trend may be due to positive news regarding the underlying company, its industry or the market in general.

Overbought and Oversold Levels The most basic RSI application is to use the indicator to identify areas that are potentially overbought or oversold. Movements above 70 indicate overbought conditions. Overbought means an extended price move to the upside; oversold to the downside. When price reaches these extreme levels, a reversal is possible. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) can be used to confirm a reversal. 

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Overbought / Oversold – These terms have got to be the most over-used terms when talking about the markets. Overbought refers to the time in which the prices have risen to a level that seems as if they cannot go any higher. Oversold is the opposite, prices have dropped to a point it seems as they cannot go any lower. Overbought and Oversold. Today, we are going to look at what it means for a currency pair to be overbought or oversold. If a pair is moving in an uptrend, it may reach a point where there are no more buyers left on the market. At this point, the currency is overbought and the trend will most likely reverse. The same applies to a downtrend.

Oct 24,  · Watch video · Just to be clear, oversold is the exact opposite of overbought. Overbought is a situation in which the demand for a certain asset unjustifiably pushes the price of an underlying asset to levels that do not support certain lokersumbagut.ga: CNBC US Source. Do you really need a bunch of squiggly lines on your screen to tell you if the market is in an overbought or oversold condition? This indicator will tell you at first glance and have you in or out of a trade much faster than any other oversold/overbought indicator.

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