# Elliott wave analysis

It helps the trader to determine which side of the market to trade.

In addition, the theory holds that each of the countertrend waves — i.

The Elliot wave five wave rules are: This article serves as an example of just one way to go about performing these tasks.

## Hypothetical, will-most-probably-be-right scenario #1:

In the diagrams above the structures shown are the simplest possible; impulses and zigzags. However, in reality there is a lot more variation than this, particularly for corrections. Zigzags lend themselves very well indeed to parallel channels, but flat corrections do not. Combinations and double and triple threes also do not lend themselves to trend channels at all. For these structures you draw a channel about the final C wave of the final structure and use this channel to indicate an end to the correction.

Real life examples of third waves. The holy grail of Elliott wave analysis for traders is a third wave. Third waves are strong and carry price in a clear direction. The best thing about third waves I think is their structure. They can only subdivide into a five wave impulse. This is the easiest structure to analyse and also to trade.

Because there is only one structure variation is limited, and so there should be less error in analysis. In the example above we are looking for the end to a second wave. Because this second wave is an expanded flat correction we cannot draw a trend channel about its whole, but we may draw a channel about its C wave.

When the channel is breached we have our indication that downwards movement may be the third wave to follow. Once we have trend channel confirmation that a third wave is underway we enter a short position.

If the wave count is correct and this is a third wave we would want to take profit at the target. In the following example the second wave is a double combination. It is not possible to draw a satisfactory channel about a combination. We could draw a channel around the flat for wave Y pink of wave 2 blue, but we would be waiting for about half of wave 3 to unfold before this channel would be breached.

Identify a reasonable stop-loss point. For a long setup we will subtract three times the three-day average true range from the low established leading up to the trade as our initial stop-loss point. For a short setup we will add three times the three-day average true range to the high established leading up to the trade, and use this as our initial stop-loss point See example to follow.

Enter trade and stop-loss order. We will assume that a trade is entered at the next day's open price. The stop-loss order will also be placed. This order is a trailing stop and we be updated each day that the trade is open. Consider taking some profits on first good move and trail a stop for the rest of the position. Trade Exit Plan 1. If stop-loss order is hit then the entire trade is exited.

If the three-day RSI reaches 85 or higher for a long trade, or 15 or lower for a short trade, or if the wave count changes from 4 to 5, we will sell half and adjust our trailing stop as follows: For a long trade we will use a trailing stop that subtracts one times the three-day average true range from the previous day's low.

For a short trade we will use a trailing stop that adds one times the three-day average true range to the previous day's high. If the wave count changes to something other than a wave 5, we will simply exit the trade on the next day.

Example Setup and Trade In Figure 1 we see the setup for a short trade. On the most recent trading day, the blue number 4 first appeared above the price bar. Prior to the day, a blue number 3 had appeared below each price bar for the past several days. This suggests that a wave 5 decline may be setting up.

Below the bar chart you can see that the three-day RSI ticked lower on the day and that the day CCI is in negative territory.

This confirms the setup and constitutes a sell short signal, so we also calculate our stop-loss price by adding three times the average true range over the last three days to the current day's high price. In Figure 2 you can see that roughly a month later the three-day RSI registered a reading below As a result, on the next day we would have bought back half of our position at The Elliott Wave model: The principle offers traders a model for the likely path of prices, and this attribute allows the trader to make Elliott wave predictions for the future path of prices.

This knowledge is very useful because: The wave principle was introduced by R. The Elliott Wave Principle proposes that collective investor psychology, or crowd psychology, swings from optimism to pessimism naturally.

These movements can be tracked in real-time and, with practice, can be leveraged to make predictions of future market movements. He did not use magic or tricks he maintains he simply applied the wave principle to the letter and caught several moves in that 4 month period, using Dow futures as his trading vehicle. What direction the price is trending?

The beauty of the Elliott wave model is that not only can it give you a view on the trend direction. It also offers insight into the trend maturity.

If you know the trend direction. And you know the trend is early in its maturity. Then you can be happy leaving a position open for longer and following that move untill its likely conclusion. How far is the trend likely to go? Whether it is an impulsive move in the direction of the trend which is in 5 separate waves.

Or a corrective move against the trend, the Elliott wave model offers a gauge as to how far the move is likely to travel. How does it do that? Lets break it down, shall we. The model proposes that the trend unfolds in 5 waves in the direction and 3 against. The internal make up of each wave should also unfold in 5 waves.

This feature allows the Elliott wave trader to follow the wave and count it as it is happening in real time. If you have counted wave 1 up ;then you could expect a correction in wave 2.

This action can all but confirm a wave count and you can get ready to enter your long position. When your position is on, you can then count the waves as they happen, wave 3 will move higher usually in a larger move in points than wave 1.

All along you hold your position open untill the waves are complete. Following the waves improves your entry position, and improves your exit point, bagging you more points in the process. The opposite is true for a correction.

A correction will unfold in three waves labelled A,B,C. Counting the waves again allows the trader to trace the correction as it happens.

## Stick around and I will show you how the Elliott Wave principle proposes to do just that.

Elliott Wave Strategy, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott is one of the earliest technical analysis tools that was developed around the 's.

Description Elliott Wave:KeyCharacteristics,MOTIVEWAVESFive-WaveStructures, Impulse Wave, Extensions, Truncations, Diagonal Triangles. And show you how Elliott wave can improve your trade entry, money management and profitability. Toggle navigation. Courses; 9 Powerful Forex Trading Strategies.